Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.985590 3.532232 4.178747 5.007555 6.053086 7.343430 9.080411e+00
2024-10-20 2.244463 2.927382 3.844095 5.197971 7.206310 10.178457 1.512132e+01
2024-10-27 1.806442 2.494271 3.490195 5.097322 7.749777 12.205623 2.089019e+01
2024-11-03 1.636114 2.374793 3.518998 5.522467 9.184927 16.172871 3.231306e+01
2024-11-10 1.461805 2.205568 3.420449 5.693014 10.219063 19.873890 4.600136e+01
2024-11-17 1.344093 2.099940 3.395781 5.974262 11.551843 24.860934 6.752395e+01
2024-11-24 1.203384 1.930324 3.223543 5.923889 12.165182 28.515109 8.939537e+01
2024-12-01 1.104220 1.816380 3.129229 6.003299 13.103550 33.601430 1.236572e+02
2024-12-08 1.015776 1.708184 3.025479 6.034694 13.939400 38.976525 1.690991e+02
2024-12-15 0.963939 1.659959 3.030172 6.310832 15.547673 48.164222 2.575848e+02
2024-12-22 0.882603 1.544582 2.878599 6.178486 15.938221 53.265394 3.363504e+02
2024-12-29 0.822944 1.464441 2.789095 6.180734 16.757807 60.960624 4.694467e+02
2025-01-05 0.746100 1.350874 2.631863 6.033390 17.265257 69.084974 6.771072e+02
2025-01-12 0.701417 1.299679 2.611028 6.271237 19.366909 89.223480 1.302566e+03
2025-01-19 0.641048 1.206670 2.475960 6.144160 20.043457 102.700607 2.107786e+03
2025-01-26 0.623892 1.203783 2.554440 6.682745 23.885007 147.595305 6.165146e+03
2025-02-02 0.591754 1.163103 2.531798 6.899536 26.525473 192.271727 1.720740e+04
2025-02-09 0.568625 1.139548 2.548476 7.257925 30.261857 265.046692 7.945838e+04
2025-02-16 0.531119 1.077814 2.453276 7.193655 31.694819 318.156249 3.286028e+05
2025-02-23 0.503474 1.036192 2.406040 7.294987 34.288770 407.457575 5.277613e+06
2025-03-02 0.476419 0.992849 2.346959 7.335073 36.613493 513.766998 1.547574e+11
2025-03-09 0.461218 0.976803 2.363362 7.688212 41.635935 743.938058 NaN
2025-03-16 0.432432 0.923618 2.262307 7.518835 42.577952 876.107080 NaN